Wednesday May 06, 2026

EBS 15: Vacancy Rates | Why 3% Is NOT ‘Balanced’

In this episode we challenge the idea that a 2 or 3 percent vacancy rate is the sign of a balanced rental market. Using national data, city level comparisons and long term vacancy and rent growth trends, we show that today’s market is far tighter, with balance looking closer to 1 percent in many cases. The episode also explains how vacancy is measured, why the relationship between vacancy and rent growth is real but not exact, and why investors should stop using hard vacancy cut offs to rule markets in or out. The takeaway is simple. Read vacancy in context, understand what it says about rental pressure, and let the broader data do the heavy lifting.

 

Episode Highlights:

00:00 - Introduction

01:10 - How is vacancy rate calculated

04:20 - Typical vacancy now - Houses

07:58 - Typical vacancy now - Units

08:56 - Melbourne vacancy now - Houses

09:49 - State capitals vacancy history - Houses

12:22 - Australia vacancy vs rental growth - Houses

18:46 - What indicates balance?

23:10 - Jeremy’s advice

28:17 - Conclusion

 

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Got questions or feedback?

Email us: PODCAST (AT) SUBURBDATA.COM.AU

 

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Viewer Favourites

👉 Q&A with Jeremy Sheppard: Entering/Exiting Markets, Buyers Agents, Suburb Selection and More - https://youtu.be/nrxq5l2MIuw

👉 How to Analyse a Property Market - https://youtu.be/TMgvL07LzXs

👉 DSR Success Rate - https://youtu.be/tSBtiD1BLqo

👉 Demand to Supply Ratio Tutorials - https://www.youtube.com/playlist?list=PLWD8h9iMOyGi7zCG37dRhAxXows2SZw7-

 

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DISCLAIMER:

Please be aware that the content presented in this video is for general informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice.

 

• The information provided is not tailored to your individual circumstances, and we do not consider your specific financial situation.

• It is strongly recommended to consult with a qualified financial advisor or professional before making any financial decisions based on the content of this video, as we have neither offered nor provided legal, financial, or taxation advice to the Listener, Reader, or Viewer.

• We do not hold an Australian Financial Services Licence as defined by section 9 of the Corporations Act 2001 (Cth) and are not authorised to provide financial services.

• Any actions taken by viewers based on the information in this video are at their own risk.

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